Forecast of Development of Industrial Products Market
Keywords:
Dual-use products, Export, Multiplicative model, Industrial marketsAbstract
The purpose of the research is to analyse the market for dual-use industrial products in Russia and to
make a forecast of its development through the example of the machinery and technical products export. The
factors that affect the functioning of the dual-use product market are highlighted, including gross domestic
product, the volatility index, oil price, and the dollar index. A multiplicative dynamic series decomposition model
was used to forecast the export of dual-use machinery and technical products. It has been established that the
export of dual-use machinery and technical products is characterised by a decrease in the medium-term forecast
period (2020–2024). To intensify market development, priority areas for cooperation and expansion of joint
projects in the military-industrial complex have been formulated. The practical significance of the results
obtained is the ability to determine the points of innovative growth of the dual-use industrial products market in
Russia.
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